Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.117428 0.129866 0.142629 0.156676 0.171674 0.187179 0.204393
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.100451 0.119522 0.140066 0.163714 0.190053 0.218362 0.250961
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084349 0.107321 0.133174 0.164111 0.199811 0.239411 0.286349
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070071 0.095060 0.124359 0.160678 0.203918 0.253202 0.313052
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063376 0.090737 0.123921 0.166238 0.217867 0.277947 0.352253
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057223 0.086233 0.122547 0.170068 0.229329 0.299560 0.387806
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.051514 0.081590 0.120398 0.172426 0.238624 0.318382 0.420020
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046041 0.076639 0.117318 0.173137 0.245523 0.334087 0.448423
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045381 0.078210 0.122761 0.184866 0.266431 0.367243 0.498499
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041665 0.075024 0.121470 0.187483 0.275522 0.385668 0.530531
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038767 0.072740 0.121182 0.191258 0.286016 0.405858 0.564881
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034849 0.068526 0.117850 0.190605 0.290477 0.418267 0.589456
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033631 0.068635 0.120986 0.199373 0.308212 0.448705 0.638249
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032492 0.068798 0.124224 0.208426 0.326626 0.480478 0.689439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029363 0.065340 0.121786 0.209182 0.333615 0.497318 0.721565
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025467 0.060139 0.116314 0.205216 0.333842 0.505107 0.741950
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024288 0.059625 0.118074 0.211864 0.348934 0.532800 0.788558
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022776 0.058335 0.118482 0.216427 0.361090 0.556657 0.830347
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021055 0.056461 0.117793 0.219229 0.370707 0.577135 0.867832
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019137 0.053981 0.115922 0.220074 0.377430 0.593677 0.900187
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019610 0.056369 0.122343 0.233950 0.403279 0.636687 0.968293
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018251 0.054824 0.121933 0.237040 0.413360 0.658074 1.007574
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017210 0.053838 0.122411 0.241494 0.425463 0.682343 1.050915